Monday, 10 June 2024

State of India’s Birds 2023

The 2023 State of India’s Birds Report was released in August 2023. The report is a periodic assessment of the distribution range, trends in abundance, and conservation status for most of the bird species that regularly occur in India. With their ubiquity and ecological importance, birds are excellent indicators of the state of our natural world and are potent cultural symbols of nature. As a comprehensive, national-level assessment, the report points the way towards conservation needs of India’s birds.

The report was produced as a partnership between the 13 organisations including the Bombay Natural History Society, WWF, Wildlife Institute of India, and Wetlands International.  

The report assesses the status of 942 bird species largely using data uploaded by birdwatchers to the online platform eBird. The assessments are based on three indices. Two are indices of change in abundance: Long-term Trend (i.e., change over c. 30 years) and Current Annual Trend (i.e., annual change over the past eight years); the third is a measure of Distribution Range Size within India.

Key points of the report:
•    30,000+ birdwatchers contributed 30 million observations analysed for trends and distribution.
•    942 Indian birds assessed for conservation priority.

o    178 classified as High Conservation Priority.
o    217 species stable or increasing in the last eight years.
o    14 species, including Indian Roller, recommended for IUCN Red List reassessment.
o    Asian Koel has increased in the past three decades.
o    Indian Peafowl continues to thrive.
o    Raptors, migratory shorebirds, and ducks have declined the most.
o    Birds that live in key habitats like open ecosystems, rivers, and coasts have declined.

•    Policy and action must align to highlight species of high conservation priority, address problems of neglected habitats, and promote research and monitoring.

Of the total of 942 species, 523 had sufficient data for estimating Long-term Trends. Among the 523, Long-term Trends could be determined for 338 species (the remaining 185 had trends categorised as inconclusive trends). Of these 338 species, 204 have declined in the long term, 98 show a trend that is indistinguishable from stable, and 36 have increased.

Using these three indices together with the IUCN global Red List of Threatened Species 2022 (hereinafter ‘IUCN Red List’), species were classified into categories of Conservation Priority for India: 178 as High Priority, 323 as Moderate Priority and 441 as Low Priority. Species of High Priority include those whose abundance indices have declined 
considerably in the long term and continue to decline today. Species were also categorised as High Priority species for India, if their current range is Very Restricted, or if their abundance trend could not be assessed but they are classified as Globally Threatened in the IUCN Red List. 

Threats to birds
The report also listed the following threats to the birds of India:

Monocultures: Monoculture plantations (or monocultures) include commercial plantations of coffee, tea, arecanut, cardamom, rubber, teak, or other species, which are created by large-scale clearance or modification of natural habitats like forests and grasslands. Commercial monocultures are known to harbour fewer bird species than natural forests within the same biome.

Environmental Pollutants: Heavy metals, pesticides and even veterinary drugs are on top of the list of known environmental pollutants endangering birds. The evidence implicating environmental pollutants in the massive decline of vultures is clear. However, the long-term consequences of other toxic chemicals for birds are still unclear in the absence of rigorous research that combines systematic sampling of pollutants in the environment together with toxicological studies on birds.

Forest Degradation: Forest degradation is a well-known driver of biodiversity loss. As a result, specialist bird species, including forest specialists, have suffered long-term declines. One evident impact is a reduction in species richness and overall abundance in degraded forest in comparison with protected forest. Further, species composition also changes, mainly due to the decline of forest specialists, large-bodied frugivores, and understorey insectivores.

Urbanisation: Urbanisation has become a key driver of global land-use change in the past 50 years. As roads and built-up areas increase, the resulting loss and fragmentation of natural habitat for birds exposes them to novel stressors such as elevated pollution levels, increased temperature, and increased density of free-ranging domestic predators like cats and dogs. Food subsidies in urban areas can result in the increase of behaviourally dominant species such as House Crows and feral Rock Pigeons, thereby crowding out other species. The most urbanized areas have the least number of species, the least number of rare species, and the fewest insectivorous species.

Energy Infrastructure (Wind energy and power lines): A wide range of bird species are known to be killed by collisions with wind turbines. The species most at risk appear to be large-bodied birds, such as storks, bustards, cranes, vultures, eagles, but other smaller species suffer collisions too.

Avian Disease: Anthropogenic drivers such as land-use change, intensive livestock production, wildlife trade, and climate change are now known to have indirect effects on the emergence and cross-species transmission of pathogens. Globally, birds are hosts for an astonishing diversity of parasites such as Plasmodium, avian influenza virus and West Nile virus. The impact of disease on avian population declines in India is poorly understood due to a lack of long-term studies. India is considered a hotspot for endemic vector-borne diseases. Avian influenza outbreaks in 2020–2021 swept through many Indian States, causing mass mortality of wild birds.

Illegal Hunting and Trade: Illegal hunting is the hunting or capture of wild species without legal sanction. Live birds are trapped for the pet trade, or hunted for their derivatives such as meat, eggs, feathers, claws, beak, and casque. Further, superstitious beliefs can lead to the illegal hunting of species like owls or Indian Roller. Fashion or hobbies can lead to a demand for feathers for hats, for fly-fishing, and other body parts for amulets or curios. To tease out the synergistic effects of land-use change (habitat loss/alteration) and illegal hunting on a bird species may be difficult and extremely challenging, and hence hard to generalise. Within India, it is this combined effect that is likely to be the most critical, as exemplified by the decline of Manipur Bush Quail and Green Munia.

Climate Change: Shifting baselines caused by climate change make it challenging to diagnose threats to birds. Researchers commonly compare disturbed and undisturbed habitats to infer degree of suitability for birds. However, climate-driven changes in avifauna make modern bird communities in undisturbed habitats different from historic ones. Without long-term data, the unknown extent of climate change impact on comparison benchmarks makes it difficult to assess land-use change effects on birds.

One way in which climate change affects bird survival and reproduction is through the disruption of species interactions by phenological mismatches and range shifts. Mismatches in seasonal timing (of migration, breeding, emergence) between birds and their prey can reduce survival and reproduction and also lead to fatal competition with other species. In parallel, range shifts lead to the loss of overlap between species in space, and thereby loss of their interactions. Additionally, new and dangerous interactions might emerge.

Climate change can also push mountain species directly towards extinction. Terrestrial bird species diversity is concentrated in tropical mountains, with each species adapted to a specific temperature range tied to altitude. The Himalaya and Western Ghats are particularly rich in bird diversity, with the latter being a hub for bird endemism. However, climate change poses a threat to high-elevation bird species as favourable conditions shrink at mountain summits, potentially causing local extinctions.


Thursday, 6 June 2024

Fourth Edition of Environment and Ecology for Civil Services Examination published

 


Features of the book

Main Text

The contents of this edition are up to date as on March 1, 2024. 

Fresh strategy for the examination based on the frequency of topics in the UPSC papers from 2011 until 2023. 

Focus on the SQ4R Method of Effective Study.

Simple language, easy to understand.

Chapters arranged for an easy flow of the text.

Question-Answer format for easy preparation for the examination.

Liberal use of bullet points in order to reduce the length of text and enable the aspirant to read and remember the main points.

Many true stories that would improve the aspirant’s understanding while creating an interest in the topic.

Exhaustive coverage of national and international policies, laws, regulations, agreements, and conventions; key messages from many reports from governments, national and international organizations as well as UN agencies.

All the main organizations, agreements, and programmes listed and explained in a separate chapter.

Special Features in each chapter

Motivational quote: Every chapter begins with a quotation to motivate the aspirant to keep going.

Importance of the topic for the examination: Explains the relevance of the topic for the examination based on the frequency of occurrence of questions on the topic in Prelims and Mains.

Major questions addressed in the chapter: The main questions addressed in the chapter in tune with the SQ4R Method.

Keywords and phrases: The terms that the aspirant should understand and remember.

Lead story: Every chapter begins with an important story relevant to the topic. The aspirant can also use the stories as examples or case studies while answering questions in the Mains.

Question-Answer format of main text: It promotes active learning through the SQ4R Method.

Tables and Boxes: While the Boxes highlight the must-know facts and provide true stories, the Tables give vital data.

Recalling the main points: Every chapter ends with the list of points to remember.

Appendices

Glossary: Explanation of all the important terms and phrases.

2023 UPSC Prelims and Mains Questions with Answers and Explanations.

Index: The aspirant can use the Index to quickly locate any term, topic, report, agreement, or name in the book.

Online support

Video lessons on many topics (Scan the QR Code).

Blog posts on current events and new topics.

Dynamic sets of Mock Tests at a later stage.

What else is coming?

Look out for the companion Q&A book for Mains:

200+ Practice Questions by chapter (same chapters as in this book) 

100 UPSC Questions by year (Last 10 years) with Answers

Later, a similar Q&A Book for Prelims!

WMO releases Global Annual to Decadal Climate Update

The Global Annual to Decadal Climate Update is issued annually by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO). It provides a synthesis of the global annual to decadal predictions produced by the WMO designated Global Producing Centres and other contributing centres. In June 2024, WMO released the latest Global Annual to Decadal Climate Update (Target years: 2024 and 2024-2028).

The stark message of the Report:

Global temperature is likely to exceed 1.5°C above pre-industrial level temporarily in next 5 years.

Key messages

  • 80% likelihood of at least one year temporarily exceeding 1.5°C between 2024-2028
  • Short-term (annual) warming does not equate to a permanent breach of the lower 1.5°C Paris Agreement goal
  • Likely that at least one of next five years will be the warmest on record, beating 2023
  • Arctic warming over the next five extended winters (November to March), relative to the average of the 1991-2020 period, is predicted to be more than three times as large as the warming in global mean temperature. 
  • Predictions of sea-ice for March 2024-2028 suggest further reductions in sea-ice concentration in the Barents Sea, Bering Sea, and Sea of Okhotsk.
  • Report highlights urgency of climate action.

The global mean near-surface temperature for each year between 2024 and 2028 is predicted to be between 1.1°C and 1.9°C higher than the 1850-1900 baseline, according to the WMO report. It says that it is likely (86%) that at least one of these years will set a new temperature record, beating 2023 which is currently the warmest year. The chance of the five-year mean for 2024-2028 being higher than the last five years (2019-2023) is also likely (90%).

This is a stark warning that we are getting ever closer to the goals set in the Paris Agreement on climate change, which refers to long-term temperature increases over decades, not over one to five years.

There is a 47% likelihood that the global temperature averaged over the entire five-year 2024-2028 period will exceed 1.5 °C above the pre-industrial era, says the WMO Global Annual to Decadal Update – up from 32% from last year’s report for the 2023-2027 period.

The chance (80%) of at least one of the next five years exceeding 1.5°C has risen steadily since 2015, when such a chance was close to zero. For the years between 2017 and 2021, there was a 20% chance of exceedance, and this increased to a 66% chance between 2023 and 2027.

Under the Paris Agreement, countries agreed to keep long-term global average surface temperature well below 2°C above pre-industrial levels and pursue efforts to limit it to 1.5°C by the end of this century. The scientific community has repeatedly warned that warming of more than 1.5°C risks unleashing far more severe climate change impacts and extreme weather and every fraction of a degree of warming matters. 

Even at current levels of global warming, there are already devastating climate impacts. These include more extreme heatwaves, extreme rainfall events and droughts; reductions in ice sheets, sea ice, and glaciers; accelerating sea level rise and ocean heating. 

The global average near-surface temperature in 2023 was 1.45 °Celsius (with a margin of uncertainty of ± 0.12 °C) above the pre-industrial baseline, according to the WMO State of the Global Climate 2023. It was by far the warmest year on record fuelled by long-term climate warming which combined with other factors, most notably a naturally occurring El Niño event, which is now waning. 

Last year’s global temperature was boosted by a strong El Niño. The WMO Update predicts the development of a La Niña and a return to cooler conditions in the tropical Pacific in the near-term, but the higher global temperatures in the next five years reflect the continued warming from greenhouse gases. 

The WMO Report was released to coincide with a major speech by the UN Secretary-General António Guterres calling for much more ambitious climate action. “We are playing Russian roulette with our planet,” said Mr Guterres.  “We need an exit ramp off the highway to climate hell.  And the good news is that we have control of the wheel.  The battle to limit temperature rise to 1.5 degrees will be won or lost in the 2020s – under the watch of leaders today.”

 

Mr Guterres also drew on supporting evidence from the European Union-funded Copernicus Climate Change Service implemented by the European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts. This showed that each of the past 12 months has set a new global temperature record for the time of year.


Given these 12 monthly records, the global average temperature for the last 12 months (June 2023 – May 2024) is also the highest on record, at 1.63°C above the 1850–1900 pre-industrial average, according to the Copernicus Climate Change ERA5 dataset.